基于模糊综合评判和灰色关联的成都空气质量分析

Analysis of Air Quality in Chengdu Based on FuzzyComprehensive Evaluation and Grey Correlation

  • 摘要: 该文对成都市2010~2014年5年间的空气质量进行了科学评价及影响因素分析。以3种空气污染物PM10、SO2、NO2的数据为基础,采用模糊综合评判法对成都市2010~2014年环境空气质量进行评价分级;应用灰色关联分析方法,计算出3种空气污染物与9项空气质量影响因素的关联度,定量判别影响空气质量的主要因素。结果表明,成都市空气质量呈恶化趋势,空气质量的主要影响因素是城市总人口、第二产业比重和工业烟粉尘排放,与上述3种污染物的关联度均大于0.8。

     

    Abstract: The paper makes a scientific evaluation and influencing factors on the air quality of Chengdu from 2010-2014.Based on the monitoring data of three kinds of air pollutants(PM10,SO2,NO2),the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to evaluate and grade the air quality of Chengdu from 2010 to 2014.Then the paper applied the grey correlation analysis method to calculate the correlation degree between the three kinds of air pollutants and nine influencing factors of air quality,and quantitative identification of the main factors affecting the air quality.The results showed that the air quality of Chengdu has been worsening.The main influencing factors of air quality are the urban population,the proportion of secondary industry and industrial dust discharged,which have high correlation of 0.8 with three kinds of air pollutants.

     

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