电力用户需求预测虚拟仿真实验设计与实践

Design and Practice of Virtual Simulation Experiment for Power Demand Forecasting

  • 摘要: 及时和准确地预测电力用户需求是电力市场有效运行、用户开展节能减排以及落实“双碳”任务的基础。然而在电力用户需求预测的传统教学中,存在数据获取困难且数据量庞大,需求预测计算过程繁琐导致难以验证试错等问题。为了解决这些问题,该文自主研发了电力用户需求预测虚拟仿真实验。该实验基于真实的电力用户数据,搭建了虚拟实验场景,遵循售电公司的实际业务流程,高度仿真了电力用户需求预测活动。通过这个实验环境,学生可以直观感受、重复试错,并进行实际验证,从而达到方法探究与经验积累的教学目的。

     

    Abstract: Timely and accurate demand forecasting for electricity users is the foundation for effective operation of the electricity market, energy conservation and emission reduction efforts by users, and the implementation of the “dual carbon” task. However, there are some problems in traditional teaching methods for electricity demand forecasting, such as difficulties in obtaining data and large data volumes, and cumbersome calculation processes for demand forecasting leading to hard verification of trial and error. To address these issues, a virtual simulation experiment for electricity demand forecasting has been independently developed. This experiment builds a virtual experimental scenario based on real-world data from electricity users, follows the actual business processes of power sales companies, and highly simulates electricity demand forecasting activities. Through this experimental environment, students can intuitively experience, repeatedly try and correct, and conduct practical verification, thereby achieving the teaching objectives of method exploration and experience accumulation.

     

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